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<br /> <br />5 <br />type of exposure to evaluate because chemicals leaching from the <br />hull of a ship represent along-term continuous source. <br />Effects Characterization. Atypical aquatic community in a marine <br />environment is comprised of a wide variety of organisms, including <br />copepods, amphipods, polychaetes, decapods, bivalves, and fish. The <br />physiology of these organisms is quite variable, and accordingly, <br />they have very different sensitivities to chemicals such as <br />antifoulants. Because toxicity data will not be available for all <br />species in the marine community being evaluated, the sensitivities of <br />a diverse group of test organisms are assumed to represent the <br />sensitivities of a natural marine community. Ideally, toxicity data <br />from chronic studies would be available, but it is sometimes <br />necessary to estimate the chronic sensitivities from acute toxicity <br />data. The toxicity tests should be based on ecologically relevant <br />endpoints such as survival, reproduction, development, and growth. <br />For most alternative antifouling biocides chronic toxicity data are <br />very limited, and for several antifouling biocides acute toxicity data <br />are also limited. The paucity of toxicity data for several antifouling <br />biocides may be the limiting factor in comparing the risks posed by a <br />variety of antifoulants. <br />Risk Characterization. The risk characterization combines the <br />information compiled in the exposure and effects characterizations in <br />order to estimate potential risk. The risk characterization may simply <br />be deterministic where a point estimate of exposure is compared to a <br />point estimate of effects (e.g., the concentration protective of 95 <br />percent of the species) or probabilistic where the distribution of <br />exposure data is compared to the distribution of effects data and risk <br />is reported as the percent species in the aquatic community expected <br />to be affected. Regardless of approach, the point estimates or <br />distributions must be calculated using the same methods. In addition <br />to direct chemical risks posed by an antifoulant, other issues must be <br />considered in a comparative risk assessment. For example, increased <br />fouling could result in introduction of foreign species, increased <br />emissions of greenhouse gases caused by greater ship drag, and <br />greater consumption of fossil fuels due to reduced fuel efficiency. <br />Tributyltin <br />The following summarizes the availability of exposure and effects <br />data for TBT, as well as the results of a TBT risk assessment at three <br />marine locations in the U. S. <br />Exposure Data. Tributyltin concentrations in the aquatic environment <br />have been heavily studied at many locations throughout the world, <br />including the North Sea, the Mediterranean Sea, the Black Sea, and <br />Japanese water bodies (e.g., CEFIC 1994; Tolosa et al. 1996; Suzuki <br />